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The Tao of Investing : Ken Fisher of Fisher Investments (Fee Only Asset Management)

- Always manage to a benchmark - else, how do you know how well you've done? KF uses MS World Index. It's your roadmap and choice set. For each stock, evaluate expected return and risk - to decide how much to own. Your biggest bet might be NOT owning British stocks when they are 10% of the world.
- Always pose the question "What if I'm wrong?" and plan accordingly. Growth/Value.
- Build insurance into your investments - use negatively correlated items. When your stock is making new highs or is over-extended, consider buying a protective put. What put to buy? Remember that in a bear market, small caps fall much more than big stocks!
- Don't worry about what the consensus fear is. The market will usually do something that no one is worrying about.
- GM and US Steel : Examples of management squandering advantage of market dominance.
- You make the most money with the least risk in small, well-managed companies aimed at big fast-growing markets. Right? WRONG! Long-term risk/reward is maximized by investing in companies aimed at markets appropriate to their size. I learnt size-segmentation the hard way. Small outfits have a long fight against Apple. Remember the parable of the lion and the mouse!
- Chartered : $12-->$2. Storage Tech. System Industries - all bloopers.
- How to lose money : Overpay, buy businesses you don't understand and neglect to take a long-term approach.
- Buy unpopular stocks of good companies!
- Small-caps beating bigger companies? First sign of a bear-market counter-trend rally.
- When you read an annual report, start at the back with the footnotes to the financials, then move forward. That's where they hide the bad stuff they didn't want to disclose but had to.
- Successful investors are because of what they don't do - don't chase the trend-du-jour : hi-tech, emerging markets (tell me about getting burned by EUROX!), IPO's and trendy eateries (who can forget Shake Shack:)
- Beware of the natural human proclivity for collecting. Have a museum, not a warehouse!
- "Fed chairmen take a pill that lets them forget everything they ever knew and it lasts until the job is over."
- Bear markets also have corrections. In an overall bear, the bear-market does occasionally reverse trend sharply for a few weeks or even months. Avoid buying into a relative high before market craters!
- Keep an eye on foreign markets - you could have foretold the 1929 crash by looking at foreign bourses.
- Buy to the sound of cannons, sell to the sound of trumpets.
- When the market rebound from a bear market, most of its gains will happen in a very short time (< 2 mo)
Recommended reading :
- Dad Phillip Fisher : Common Stocks, Uncommon Profits - growth stock investing bible. 15 Points.
- Charles McKay : Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds (1841)
- William Proctor : The Templeton Touch
- David Dreman : The Contrarian Investment Strategy
- John Train : The Money Masters (1980) (Harvard review : in a couple of weekends you can get as good a perspective on money as you can from a full school year at Harvard)
- Edwin LeFevre : Reminiscences of a Stock Operator ("When I buy a stock, I want to pay top prices - that verifies the demand") (Jesse Livermore) (1923)
- Sumner and Levine : Global Investing
- John Roger : Wealth 101 - Psychology of Wealth - quotes, wisdom, satire.
- Ben Branch and Hugh Ray : Bankruptcy Investing.
- Gerald Krefetz : The Basics of Stocks
- Andrew Krieger : The Money Bazaar (currency trading, trillion dollar a week market)
- William Spitz : Get Rich Slowly (easy to read)
- Robert Hagstrom : The Warren Buffet Way (fwd by Peter Lynch)
- Jeremy Siegel : Stocks for the Long Term (bonds are riskier; diversification, value, style)
- James O'Shaughnessy : Invest Like the Best
- Douglas Donnelly : The Money Monarchs
- John Bogle : Bogle on Mutual Funds (buying great performing fund may be costly)
- Triumph of the Optimists : Elroy Dimson, et al.
- John Reese, Glasman : The Market Gurus
- Dean LeBaron (quant), Ramesh Vaitalingam : Treasury of Investment Wisdom
- Tom Gilovich : How We Know What Isn't So (common cognitive traps that cause misperceptions of reality which are rampant in markets
- Robert Menschel : Markets, Mobs and Mayhem
- Robert Sobel : Dangerous Dreamers
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